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08/20/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Both the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim and Minnesota Twins made the playoffs last season, but only one of those teams seems to be headed for a return trip.
The Angels will attempt to boost their sagging postseason hopes when they make their first-ever appearance at the brand-new Target Field for tonight's opener of a critical three-game series with the red-hot Twins.
Anaheim has captured three straight American League West titles, but the club faces an uphill climb in its quest for a fourth. With 40 games remaining in the regular season, the Angels trail Texas by seven games for first place in the division.
The Angels were able to gain some ground on the Rangers on Thursday, however. Mike Scioscia's squad came through with a 7-2 victory over Boston last night, while Texas suffered its fourth straight loss after yesterday's setback at Baltimore.
Hideki Matsui snapped a 1-1 tie in Thursday's matchup with the Red Sox by belting a three-run homer in the sixth inning, while Ervin Santana (13-8) made the lead stand for Anaheim by holding Boston to two runs and four hits over the first seven frames.
Matsui finished with four RBI on the night and Alberto Callaspo knocked in two runs for the Angels, who had lost the first two games of the Boston series and three in a row overall.
Los Angeles will now face a surging Minnesota team that's amassed a major league best 24-9 record since the All-Star break and has opened up a four-game lead in the AL Central after just taking two of three tests from the second- place Chicago White Sox. The Twins have also been tough to beat at their new home park as of late, having posted wins in nine of their last 10 games at Target Field.
That streak did come to an end with last night's 11-0 setback to the White Sox, however, which also halted a six-game overall winning streak for Minnesota.
"I think we caught [the White Sox] at a time when they just hit everything," Twins catcher Drew Butera said after Thursday's loss. "They hit mistakes and they hit good pitches too."
Chicago handed Carl Pavano (15-8) one of his worst outings of the season in last night's finale, pounding the Minnesota ace for seven runs and a whopping 15 hits in his six innings of work. Pavano had gone 10-1 with a 2.63 earned run average over his previous 13 starts.
The Twins, who were outhit by a 21-5 margin for the game, will turn to another pitcher who's been on a roll in hopes of bouncing back tonight. Brian Duensing has been sensational since joining the team's rotation a month ago, with the second-year lefty having produced a 3-0 record and a 2.43 ERA during that stretch.
Duensing was especially good in his last start, yielding just three hits and two walks against Oakland this past Saturday to notch his first career shutout. That effort followed up a 7 1/3-inning stint at Cleveland on August 8 in which he allowed four runs (three earned) to pick up another win.
The former University of Nebraska standout's best work has usually come at home this year. In 22 overall appearances that included last Saturday's gem, Duensing is 3-1 with a minuscule 1.42 ERA at Target Field.
This will be Duensing's first-ever start against the Angels, but he's surrendered two runs in 5 1/3 innings over four career encounters with the Halos in relief.
Dan Haren gets the call for Anaheim tonight, with the midseason acquisition in search of his first win on the road since a complete-game performance at Houston on May 6 while still a member of the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Haren hasn't made much of an impact since coming to the Angels in a July 25 trade with Arizona, as Los Angeles has lost in four of his first five starts following the swap. The three-time All-Star isn't entirely to blame for his 1-3 record, however, as he's given up two runs or less in three of those five games.
The hard-throwing righty's only win as a Angel came on August 10, when Haren held Kansas City to one run and five hits over seven sharp innings. He wasn't quite as effective in Sunday's home start against Toronto, which reached him for four runs in seven frames en route to a 4-1 triumph.
Haren is 2-4 with a mediocre 4.93 ERA in 11 road starts between the Diamondbacks and Angels this season, and owns a 2-2 record with a 2.57 ERA over six career meetings with Minnesota. He hasn't faced the Twins since 2007, though.
The Angels have won seven of their last 11 clashes with the Twins and swept a three-game series in their final visit to the Metrodome last year. Minnesota did take three of four from Anaheim in a season-opening series in Southern California this past April, however.
<< White Sox take on Royals at Kauffman Stadium
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - After falling into second place in the American League
Central standings with a rough stretch over the past few weeks, the Chicago
White Sox hope a series of games against the non-contending Kansas City Royals
will en
<< Rays, A's resume set at the Coliseum
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jeremy Hellickson tries to win his fourth game in as many
starts this evening when the Tampa Bay Rays continue their four-game series
with the Oakland Athletics at the Coliseum.
Regardless of the outcome tonight, tho
<< Jays open series in Boston
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Toronto Blue Jays may not be looking forward to
another series with the Boston Red Sox. The club has certainly seen enough of
Jon Lester over the past couple of years.
Both Lester and the Red Sox will attemp
<< Mets take aim at .500 in Steel City opener
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The New York Mets can pull back to .500 and beyond
beginning tonight, when they open a three-game weekend series against the team
with the worst record in the major leagues - the Pittsburgh Pirates - at PNC
Park.
New York
NHL's hybrid icing rule could have legs >>
Toronto, Canada (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The 2010 NHL Research, Development and
Orientation Camp took place on August 18-19 at Toronto's MasterCard Centre,
drawing many of hockey's most critical thinkers.
Grouped together at the Toronto Maple Lea
Lagoutte-Clement wins Ladies Scottish Open >>
East Lothian, Scotland (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Virgine Lagoutte-Clement posted a
one-under-par 71 on Friday to come from behind and win the Ladies Scottish
Open.
She won the championship by a stroke at one-over 217 at Archerfield Links.
MISL adds second expansion team for 2010-11 >>
Orlando, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Major Indoor Soccer League announced this
week an expansion team based on Omaha, Neb. will join the league for the
2010-11 season.
The soon-to-be-named Omaha team joins the Missouri Comets as new te
New York aims to break offensive slump at Toronto >>
Toronto, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Red Bull New York travels to take on Toronto FC
at BMO Field as the two Major League Soccer clubs meet for the second time in
10 days on Saturday afternoon.
Toronto has been off in league play since the previo
Michael Vick is back, Brett Favre isn't and the NFC East remains the best division in the NFC, maybe in all of football.
As players start to gather for the start of another season, some things change and some stay the same in the world of the NFL.
The NFC East has been the dominant division in the National Conference for a while, despite limited playoff success, save for the New York Giants surprise Super Bowl win two seasons ago.
Hell, there's a generation of kids in Texas who have never seen the Cowboys win a playoff game (last win was in 1996).
But collectively, the Giants, Eagles, Cowboys and Redskins (well, maybe not so much the Redskins) are as good as a division gets in an NFC conference that has struggled to stay competitive with the AFC side.
Sports bettors have both acknowledged the NFC East's dominance, as one glance at the NFL future odds menu will show.
Looking over the NFL betting odds at online sports book MySportsbook.com we see the top three teams listed to win the NFC Championship are all from the NFC East:
Dallas Cowboys - 7 - 1
Philadelphia Eagles - 13 - 2
New York Giants - 9 - 2
Slotting in behind these three are two teams from the NFC North: the Minnesota Vikings (15-2) and the Chicago Bears (10-1).
Again, despite the lack of recent playoff success, the Dallas Cowboys are popular with the sports betting community, as they hold 14% of all the money wagered on who will win the NFC Championship.
So far, the New York Giants are the bettors' favorite to represent their conference in the Super Bowl, as they have 24% of the overall NFC Championship betting volume.
And what about the Philadelphia Eagles? For the most part, the Eagles had a very productive offseason, the kind that could bring them back to the top.
They had a good draft adding the likes of WR Jeremy Maclin and RB LeSean McCoy.
Unfortunately, the team received a blow when long-time defensive coordinator Jim Johnson passed away on Tuesday.
But this team will make a real run at the division title this year. Going into the regular season, Philly is listed at +240 to win the division.
Last season the Eagles were 9-6-1 SU and 10-6 ATS.
Teams from the NFC East will play teams from the AFC West in the regular season and the Eagles haven't really been a good bet in the last 20 games against the likes of San Diego, Oakland, K.C. and Denver, only going 8-12 ATS.
Two seasons removed from that Super Bowl title, the New York Giants see themselves listed as the odds-on favorite in NFC East championship futures at +162.
Plaxico Burress is gone and with him all the bad publicity surrounding the gun in the sweatpants incident, but can they replace him in the offense?
Last season the Giants were a very reliable bet going 12-4 ATS.
In the Giants' last 20 games against fellow teams from the NFC East; they are 13-7 ATS.
Dallas is listed at +240 to win the division.
Dallas went 9-7 SU and 7-9 ATS last season and with the amount of talent the Cowboys have, a similar performance won't do.
The Cowboys have been atrocious against divisional rivals, going 6-14 ATS in their last 20.
The Washington Redskins are longshots to win the division at +550.
Visit MySportsbook.com for free sportsbook odds RSS feeds go to MySportsbook.com for all your betting football needs.
(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).
The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.
"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."
Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.
"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."
When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:
CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.
DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.
PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.
You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.
"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."
Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.
(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)
Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."
But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."
Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."
Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."
All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.
In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.
"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."
To visit this horse betting site go to MySportsbook.com for all your horse racing betting needs.
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